Showing posts with label Payroll. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Payroll. Show all posts

Thursday, February 24, 2011

Indians Payroll Estimate: 2/24/2011

This estimate reflects only players who are currently under team control for the 2011 seasons and those that follow. It does not include any speculation on players who will be signed via free agency or those who will be acquired via trade. This list will change as the off season progress, and players are acquired, or lost.

Wednesday, February 16, 2011

Royals Payroll Estimate: 2/16/2011

This estimate reflects only players who are currently under team control for the 2011 seasons and those that follow. It does not include any speculation on players who will be signed via free agency or those who will be acquired via trade. This list will change as the off season progress, and players are acquired, or lost.

Tigers Payroll Estimate: 2/16/2011

This estimate reflects only players who are currently under team control for the 2011 seasons and those that follow. It does not include any speculation on players who will be signed via free agency or those who will be acquired via trade. This list will change as the off season progress, and players are acquired, or lost.

White Sox Payroll Estimate: 2/16/2011

This estimate reflects only players who are currently under team control for the 2011 seasons and those that follow. It does not include any speculation on players who will be signed via free agency or those who will be acquired via trade. This list will change as the off season progress, and players are acquired, or lost.

Twins Payroll Estimate: 2/16/2011

This estimate reflects only players who are currently under team control for the 2011 seasons and those that follow. It does not include any speculation on players who will be signed via free agency or those who will be acquired via trade. This list will change as the off season progress, and players are acquired, or lost.

Wednesday, January 19, 2011

Indians Payroll Estimate #3

This estimate reflects only players who are currently under team control for the 2011 season. It does not include any speculation on players who will be signed via free agency or those who will be acquired via trade. This list will change as the off season progress, and players are acquired, or lost.

The positions in many cases are speculative. If I pencil in a player at a position who did not start there in 2010, it may be because I simply feel he would be the most qualified should 2011 begin today. It does not mean I expect the team to enter the 2011 season with said player manning that position, so don't read into it too much.

An asterisk denotes an arbitration eligible player and my estimate at what they'll receive. Please note that this is not an exact figure, but should be close. 


Tuesday, January 18, 2011

White Sox Payroll Estimate #4

This estimate reflects only players who are currently under team control for the 2011 season. It does not include any speculation on players who will be signed via free agency or those who will be acquired via trade. This list will change as the off season progress, and players are acquired, or lost.

The positions in many cases are speculative. If I pencil in a player at a position who did not start there in 2010, it may be because I simply feel he would be the most qualified should 2011 begin today. It does not mean I expect the team to enter the 2011 season with said player manning that positon, so don't read into it too much.

An asterisk denotes an arbitration eligible player and my estimate at what they'll receive. Please note that this is not an exact figure, but should be close. 


Tigers Payroll Estimate #4

This estimate reflects only players who are currently under team control for the 2011 season. It does not include any speculation on players who will be signed via free agency or those who will be acquired via trade. This list will change as the off season progress, and players are acquired, or lost.

The positions in many cases are speculative. If I pencil in a player at a position who did not start there in 2010, it may be because I simply feel he would be the most qualified should 2011 begin today. It does not mean I expect the team to enter the 2011 season with said player manning that positon, so don't read into it too much.

An asterisk denotes an arbitration eligible player and my estimate at what they'll receive. Please note that this is not an exact figure, but should be close. 


Royals Payroll Estimate #3

This estimate reflects only players who are currently under team control for the 2011 season. It does not include any speculation on players who will be signed via free agency or those who will be acquired via trade. This list will change as the off season progress, and players are acquired, or lost.

The positions in many cases are speculative. If I pencil in a player at a position who did not start there in 2010, it may be because I simply feel he would be the most qualified should 2011 begin today. It does not mean I expect the team to enter the 2011 season with said player manning that positon, so don't read into it too much.

An asterisk denotes an arbitration eligible player and my estimate at what they'll receive. Please note that this is not an exact figure, but should be close. 


Indians Payroll Estimate #2

This estimate reflects only players who are currently under team control for the 2011 season. It does not include any speculation on players who will be signed via free agency or those who will be acquired via trade. This list will change as the off season progress, and players are acquired, or lost.

The positions in many cases are speculative. If I pencil in a player at a position who did not start there in 2010, it may be because I simply feel he would be the most qualified should 2011 begin today. It does not mean I expect the team to enter the 2011 season with said player manning that position, so don't read into it too much.

An asterisk denotes an arbitration eligible player and my estimate at what they'll receive. Please note that this is not an exact figure, but should be close. 


Twins Payroll Estimate #3

This estimate reflects only players who are currently under team control for the 2011 season. It does not include any speculation on players who will be signed via free agency or those who will be acquired via trade. This list will change as the off season progress, and players are acquired, or lost.

The positions in many cases are speculative. If I pencil in a player at a position who did not start there in 2010, it may be because I simply feel he would be the most qualified should 2011 begin today. It does not mean I expect the team to enter the 2011 season with said player manning that positon, so don't read into it too much.

An asterisk denotes an arbitration eligible player and my estimate at what they'll receive. Please note that this is not an exact figure, but should be close. 


Wednesday, December 22, 2010

Royals Have Money To Spend

The Royals have fielded a lot of pretty miserable teams over the past decade. But one thing that probably shouldn't be said, is that they've been cheapskates. No, they haven't fielded huge payrolls, but compared to teams like the Marlins, Pirates, Rays, and Padres, the Royals have at least shown some willingness to spend money.

Now, following the trade of Zack Greinke and Yuniesky Betancourt, which rid the team of about 17.5m in salary from their projected 2011 payroll, the Royals find themselves at just around 42m dollars in projected payroll. That mark, should it hold, would be the lowest opening day payroll for the Royals since 2005, and would be just the second time since 2002 that they had such a miniscule payroll.

Given that the Royals have opened the past two seasons with payrolls of over 70m, it would seem that they probably have at least a little money to spend. Now, I'm not suggesting that the Royals are candidates to make a big splash or anything, but thy certainly have some payroll to utilize in shoring up their bullpen or rotation. Both of which are frighteningly thin. That said, the team has a multitude of talented youngsters in it's system, and any signings should be shorter (1-2 years) in length to allow for those young players to come up when they're ready.

If we assume that the Royals now have another 15-20m to work with - which would bring them into the 55-60m range - then perhaps making a run at a bounce back player (Brandon Webb?) could work. It could give fans a reason to come to the ballpark and it'd provide Webb with a nice rebound opportunity. Certainly Webb is a long shot, he's going to get solid offers from a couple contenders, this much we know. But with so much payroll in hand, and the deal being for just one or two years, the Royals can afford to overpay a bit.

Another other option of course, would be to reinvest that money elsewhere - like the international market and perhaps make a couple big signings out of the Caribbean? Maybe you draft some tough-sign candidates in the draft and make aggressive offers to try and lure them away from college ball. This draft class is supposed t be one of the deeper ones in the past few years after all.

Either way, the Royals should have some money to work with. It'll be interesting to see how they decide to utilize it.

Royals Payroll Estimate #2

This estimate reflects only players who are currently under team control for the 2011 season. It does not include any speculation on players who will be signed via free agency or those who will be acquired via trade. This list will change as the off season progress, and players are acquired, or lost.

The positions in many cases are speculative. If I pencil in a player at a position who did not start there in 2010, it may be because I simply feel he would be the most qualified should 2011 begin today. It does not mean I expect the team to enter the 2011 season with said player manning that positon, so don't read into it too much.

An asterisk denotes an arbitration eligible player and my estimate at what they'll receive. Please note that this is not an exact figure, but should be close. 

*Updates*
- Non-Tendered Josh Fields
- Signed Melky Cabrera for 1y/1.5m
- Signed Jeff Francouer for 1y/2.5m
- Traded Zach Greinke and Yuniesky Betancourt for Alcides Escobar, Lorenzo Cain, Jeremy Jeffress, and Jake Odorizzi.

C) Jason Kendall - 3.75m
1B) Billy Butler - 2.0m*
2B) Mike Aviles - 450k
3B)
SS) Alcides Escobar - 450k
LF) Alex Gordon - 2.0m*
CF) Lorenzo Cain - 450k
RF) Jeff Francouer - 2.5m
DH) Kila Ka'aihue - 450k

BN) Brayan Pena - 750k*
BN) Joaquin Arias - 450k
BN) Mitch Maier - 450k
BN) Melky Cabrera - 1.25m

SP) Gil Meche - 12.0m
SP) Luke Hochevar - 2.5m*
SP) Kyle Davies - 2.5m*
SP) Vin Mazzaro - 450k
SP)

RP)
RP) Blake Wood - 450k
RP) Dusty Hughes - 450k
RP) Sean O'Sullivan - 450k
RP) Kevin Pucetas - 450k
RP) Robinson Tejada - 1.5m*
RP) Joakim Soria - 4.0m

MiLB Costs:
 - Noel Agruelles 1.38m
- Aaron Crow: 1.0m

Total: 42.08m

Monday, December 20, 2010

White Sox Payroll Estimate #3

This estimate reflects only players who are currently under team control for the 2011 season. It does not include any speculation on players who will be signed via free agency or those who will be acquired via trade. This list will change as the off season progress, and players are acquired, or lost.

The positions in many cases are speculative. If I pencil in a player at a position who did not start there in 2010, it may be because I simply feel he would be the most qualified should 2011 begin today. It does not mean I expect the team to enter the 2011 season with said player manning that positon, so don't read into it too much.

An asterisk denotes an arbitration eligible player and my estimate at what they'll receive. Please note that this is not an exact figure, but should be close. 

*Update*

- Signed 1B/LF/DH Adam Dunn for 4y/56m: 12m (2011) / 14m (2012) / 15m (2013 and 2014)
- Signed Catcher A.J. Pierzynski for 2y/8m: 2m (2011) / 6m (2012)
- Signed First Baseman Paul Konerko for 3y/37.5m: 12m (2011 and 2012) / 13.5m (2013)
- Traded relief pitcher Scott Linebrink to Braves: 1y/5.5m (Sox sent 3m to cover part of Linebrink's salary)
- Non-tendered closer Bobby Jenks
- Signed Relief Pitcher Jesse Crain for 3y/13m: 4.0m (2011) / 4.5m (2012 and 2013)

C) A.J. Pierzynski - 2.0m
1B) Paul Konerko - 12.0m
2B) Gordon Beckham - 450k
3B) Brent Morel - 450k
SS) Alexi Ramirez - 2.75m
LF) Juan Pierre - 5.0m (8.5m less 3.5m paid by Dodgers)
CF) Alex Rios - 12.5m
RF) Carlos Quentin - 5.0m*
DH) Adam Dunn - 12.0m

BN) Dayan Viciedo - 2.25m
BN) Omar Vizquel - 1.75m
BN) Mark Teahan - 4.75m*
BN) Ramon Castro - 1.2m

SP) Jake Peavy- 16.0m
SP) John Danks - 5.5m* 
SP) Gavin Floyd - 5.0m
SP) Mark Buehrle - 14.0m
SP) Edwin Jackson - 8.75m

RP)
RP)
RP) Tony Pena - 1.5m*
RP) Sergio Santos - 450k
RP) Chris Sale - 450k
RP) Jesse Crain - 4.0m
RP) Matt Thornton - 3.0m


Other:

Scott Linebrink - 3.5m

Total: 124.25m

Twins Payroll Estimate #2

This estimate reflects only players who are currently under team control for the 2011 season. It does not include any speculation on players who will be signed via free agency or those who will be acquired via trade. This list will change as the off season progress, and players are acquired, or lost.

The positions in many cases are speculative. If I pencil in a player at a position who did not start there in 2010, it may be because I simply feel he would be the most qualified should 2011 begin today. It does not mean I expect the team to enter the 2011 season with said player manning that positon, so don't read into it too much.

An asterisk denotes an arbitration eligible player and my estimate at what they'll receive. Please note that this is not an exact figure, but should be close. 

 *Update*

- Traded Shortstop J.J. Hardy and utility man Brendan Harris (+500K) for Relief Pitcher Jim Hoey and MiLB Pitcher Paul Bargas.

- Drafted Scott Diamond in Rule V Draft.

 C: Mauer - 23.0m
1B: Morneau - 14.0m
2B: Nishioka - 3.0m
3B: Valencia - 450k
SS: Casilla - 800k*
LF: Young - 5.5m*
CF: Span - 1.0m
RF: Cuddyer - 10.5m
DH: Kubel - 5.25m

BN: Butera - 450k
BN: Tolbert - 450k
BN: Plouffe - 450k
BN:

SP: Liriano - 4.5m*
SP: Baker - 5.0m
SP: Blackburn - 3.0m
SP: Slowey - 2.5m*
SP: Duensing - 450k

RP:
RP: Diamond - 450k
RP: Hoey - 450k
RP: Perkins - 750k*
RP: Mijares - 450k
RP: Capps - 7.5m*
RP: Nathan - 11.25m

Buyout: Punto - 500k
Orioles: 2.0m in Hardy/Harris trade.

Total: 103.65m

Tigers Payroll Estimate #3

This estimate reflects only players who are currently under team control for the 2011 season. It does not include any speculation on players who will be signed via free agency or those who will be acquired via trade. This list will change as the off season progress, and players are acquired, or lost.

The positions in many cases are speculative. If I pencil in a player at a position who did not start there in 2010, it may be because I simply feel he would be the most qualified should 2011 begin today. It does not mean I expect the team to enter the 2011 season with said player manning that positon, so don't read into it too much.

An asterisk denotes an arbitration eligible player and my estimate at what they'll receive. Please note that this is not an exact figure, but should be close. 

*Update*

- Signed Catcher Victor Martinez for 4y/50m: 12.0m (2011) / 13.0m (2012+2013) / 12.0m (2014)
- Signed Reliever Joaquin Benoit for 3y/16.5m: 5.5m per year.
- Signed Outfielder Magglio Ordonez for 1y/10.0m


C) Victor Martinez - 12.0m
1B) Miguel Cabrera - 20.0m
2B) Scott Sizemore - 450k
3B) Brandon Inge - 5.5m
SS) Johnny Peralta - 5.25m
LF) Ryan Raburn - 1.5m*
CF) Austin Jackson - 450k
RF) Magglio Ordonez - 10.0m
DH) Carlos Guillen - 13.0m

BN) Ramon Santiago - 1.25m
BN) Don Kelly - 450k
BN) Casper Wells - 450k
BN) Alex Avila - 450k

SP) Justin Verlander - 12.85m
SP) Max Scherzer - 450k
SP) Rick Porcello - 1.535m
SP) Armando Gallaraga - 1.5m*
SP) Phil Coke - 450k
 
RP)
RP) Daniel Schlereth - 450k
RP) Fu-Te Ni - 450k 
RP) Ryan Perry - 450k
RP) Joel Zumaya - 1.5m*
RP) Joaquin Beniot - 5.5m
RP) Jose Valverde - 7.0m

MiLB Costs:
Jacob Turner - 1.175m

Total: 104.06m

Wednesday, December 8, 2010

Tigers Payroll Estimate #2

This estimate reflects only players who are currently under team control for the 2011 season. It does not include any speculation on players who will be signed via free agency or those who will be acquired via trade. This list will change as the off season progress, and players are acquired, or lost.

The positions in many cases are speculative. If I pencil in a player at a position who did not start there in 2010, it may be because I simply feel he would be the most qualified should 2011 begin today. It does not mean I expect the team to enter the 2011 season with said player manning that positon, so don't read into it too much.

An asterisk denotes an arbitration eligible player and my estimate at what they'll receive. Please note that this is not an exact figure, but should be close. 

*Update*

- Signed Catcher Victor Martinez for 4y/50m: 12.0m (2011) / 13.0m (2012+2013) / 12.0m (2014)
- Signed Reliever Joaquin Benoit for 3y/16.5m: 5.5m per year.


C) Victor Martinez - 12.0m
1B) Miguel Cabrera - 20.0m
2B) Scott Sizemore - 450k
3B) Brandon Inge - 5.5m
SS) Johnny Peralta - 5.25m
LF) Ryan Raburn - 1.5m*
CF) Austin Jackson - 450k
RF) Brennan Boesch - 450k
DH) Carlos Guillen - 13.0m

BN) Ramon Santiago - 1.25m
BN) Don Kelly - 450k
BN) Casper Wells - 450k
BN) Alex Avila - 450k

SP) Justin Verlander - 12.85m
SP) Max Scherzer - 450k
SP) Rick Porcello - 1.535m
SP) Armando Gallaraga - 1.5m*
SP) Phil Coke - 450k
 
RP) Daniel Schlereth - 450k
RP) Zach Miner - 1.5m*
RP) Fu-Te Ni - 450k 
RP) Ryan Perry - 450k
RP) Joel Zumaya - 1.5m*
RP) Joaquin Beniot - 5.5m
RP) Jose Valverde - 7.0m

MiLB Costs:
Jacob Turner - 1.175m

Total: 96.01m

White Sox Payroll Estimate #2

This estimate reflects only players who are currently under team control for the 2011 season. It does not include any speculation on players who will be signed via free agency or those who will be acquired via trade. This list will change as the off season progress, and players are acquired, or lost.

The positions in many cases are speculative. If I pencil in a player at a position who did not start there in 2010, it may be because I simply feel he would be the most qualified should 2011 begin today. It does not mean I expect the team to enter the 2011 season with said player manning that positon, so don't read into it too much.

An asterisk denotes an arbitration eligible player and my estimate at what they'll receive. Please note that this is not an exact figure, but should be close. 

*Update*

- Signed 1B/LF/DH Adam Dunn for 4y/56m: 12m (2011) / 14m (2012) / 15m (2013 and 2014)
- Signed Catcher A.J. Pierzynski for 2y/8m: 2m (2011) / 6m (2012)
- Signed First Baseman Paul Konerko for 3y/37.5m: 12m (2011 and 2012) / 13.5m (2013)
- Traded relief pitcher Scott Linebrink to Braves: 1y/5.5m (Sox sent 3m to cover part of Linebrink's salary)
- Non-tendered closer Bobby Jenks

C) A.J. Pierzynski - 2.0m
1B) Paul Konerko - 12.0m
2B) Gordon Beckham - 450k
3B) Brent Morel - 450k
SS) Alexi Ramirez - 2.75m
LF) Juan Pierre - 8.5m
CF) Alex Rios - 12.5m
RF) Carlos Quentin - 5.0m*
DH) Adam Dunn - 12.0m

BN) Dayan Viciedo - 2.25m
BN) Omar Vizquel - 1.75m
BN) Mark Teahan - 4.75m*
BN) Ramon Castro - 1.2m

SP) Jake Peavy- 16.0m
SP) Mark Buehrle - 14.0m
SP) Edwin Jackson - 8.75m
SP) John Danks - 5.5m*
SP) Gavin Floyd - 5.0m

RP)
RP)
RP)
RP) Tony Pena - 1.5m*
RP) Sergio Santos - 450k
RP) Chris Sale - 450k
RP) Matt Thornton - 3.0m


Other:

Scott Linebrink - 3m

Total: 123.25m

Sunday, November 14, 2010

Indians To Cut Payroll

After cutting payroll by almost exactly 20m from 81m in 2009 to 61m in 2010, it appears they'll do so again in 2011. Paul Hoynes is reporting that;

"Just how much money the Indians can spend on players has yet to be determined, but the payroll will drop from $61.5 million at the start of last season to between $40 million and $50 million."

Earlier this week, I made my first payroll projection for the 2011 Indians and had them at a division low 41.35m after arbitration raises are factored in. While Hoynes notes that there is no clear indication of how much room GM Chris Antonetti - entering his first full off season - will have to spend, it's clear that it likely wont be much more than about 9.5m, if my payroll calculations are correct. It could also be a fair amount less if Shin-Soo Choo ends up making more than 3.0m I have him pegged for in arbitration, or the final figure is closer to, say, 45m than 50m.

With that in mind, the Indians will be left in a position where they will be forced to either go into 2011 with little change from the roster currently in place - one that includes five players who project as regulars that posted OPS marks of .705 or lower in 2010. Yikes.

The payroll cut is likely at least partially the result of continued plummeting attendance as the Indians have seen attendance fall from just 28,097 per game during their 96 win 2007 season, to just 17,180 last year as the team experienced it's second straight season with fewer than 70 wins. With attendance down by 39%, a drop in payroll to 50m would be almost exactly on line (38.5%). Obviously also influential would be the corresponding loss of revenue from concessions and merchandise, amongst other factors.

Ultimately, this leads to a discussion of how winning effects revenues, and perhaps more importantly, precisely how cost-effective salary cutting measures such as trading star players (Cliff Lee, Victor Martinez, CC Sabathia) as they become more expensive really are. But that's a discussion (both interesting and important) for another day.

What needs to be focused on now is precisely how the Indians will try and address their many weaknesses during the 2010-2011 off season. The team could stand to have more reliable options at first (where Matt LaPorta will be given every chance to become a fixture), second, third, and left field. On the mound, they need a legitimate ace and a solid innings eater. The bullpen could use a reliable right-handed setup option. But other than that...

Obviously it'll be far beyond the capacities of Mr. Antonetti to address all these concerns, but how he goes about it should be interesting. The Indians made a nice play by pulling Austin Kearns off the scrap hep last year, but they'd need to make many more this off season, and do so with far less room to operate. Will the Indians stick with the players they have and try and make a few savvy acquisitions? Or will they perhaps try and make a trade to clear salary or further their rebuilding efforts?

We won't know, and I'm not going to use this particular piece for speculation, but we'll find out a lot about how Antonetti and the rest of the Indians management feel about the players they have in place and how much work they still think they need to do.

Wednesday, April 7, 2010

The Paradox of Magglio Ordonez

A couple days ago I spoke briefly about the odds of Magglio Ordonez bouncing back from a down year, finally surmising that I expect him to do so. However, Ordonez playing well puts the Tigers front office and management in a bit of a bind as Ordonez has a 15.0m option for next season that vests if he reaches 135 starts or 540 plate appearances.

On a positive note the Tigers have a massive amount of money coming off the books next year as the bad contracts for Jeremy Bonderman (12.5m), Dontrelle Willis (12.0m), Nate Robertson (10.0m), Johnny Damon (8.0m), Brandon Inge (6.6m), along with smaller deals for catcher Gerald Laird (3.95m), Bobby Seay (2.475m), and Adam Everett (1.55m). That's a total of 57.075m. Should Ordonez's option not vest, that would bring the total to a whopping 72.075m.

With the Tigers opening day payroll this year just over 130.0m, one wonders how long that sort of spending can be maintained without seeing returns. By most accounts, Tigers owner Mike Illitch is eating a fairly substantial loss with attendance down and the state of the Detroit economy in a less-than-ideal spot.

That was true this off season as well, when the trades of Curtis Granderson and Edwin Jackson were seen as payroll cutting moves. That notion however was largely invalidated when the Tigers then went out and spent a combined 22.0m on free agents Jose Valverde and Johnny Damon over a total of three years.

That doesn't necessarily mean that the Tigers wont be cutting payroll in the near future however, and the invaluable Kurt Mensching of Bless You Boys said the following when asked about the Tigers payroll;

"[Then], either Tigers underestimated what that would do to attendance (for a club that would still be paying out about $115 million at the major league level) or owner Mike Ilitch didn't feel like wasting a year. Either way, the decision was made to invest a bit more in the product and make a run at the division, thus boosting sales and enjoyment. I think that's valid. You're already spending $115m to lose, why not add $15m to try to win?"

It makes perfect sense I suppose. If the Tigers can gain an additional 15.0m in revenue this season by being competitive (or at least by improving the notion of their competitiveness to the fan base) then it's certainly worth the investment in a financial sense.

That brings us back to the issue of Ordonez. There are a few questions to answer; first, how many wins is 15.0m worth? The second, if he isn't playing well enough to be worth 15.0m, should the team try and platoon him with another outfielder - perhaps Ryan Raburn - to keep him from reaching that option.

The first part of the equation is actually fairly easy to answer - or at least to ball park. We know that a win (on the WAR scale) is worth approximately 4.5m. So simple math: 15.0m / 4.5m = 3.33 wins. To be worth 3.33 wins, he'd have to post an OPS in the neighborhood of .875 and play around league average defense. That's hardly out of the question for him.

But what if he isn't, what if we're approaching mid-season and his OPS is around .820? What then? The team could try and turn to Raburn to hold Ordonez under the 540 PA mark, and of course deal with the inevitable union grievance later.

But therein lies the problem for the Tigers. Ordonez isn't likely to out play the value of his deal either this year or next, but trying to prevent that option from vesting isn't easy. With a payroll that is likely to tighten, even with all the money coming off the books, the Tigers might not really want Ordonez's option to vest, even if that is what is best for the teams competitiveness. That might not be an easy notion for a lot of Tigers fans to digest, but it's certainly not without validity.